Finance News
Homebuyers are backing out of deals at a record rate as prices march higher
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DFW Housing & macro econ analyst Amy Nixon joins ‘Making Money’ to discuss the impact of big banks investing in residential real estate.
Would-be homebuyers are getting a case of cold feet as they confront still elevated mortgage rates and record-high housing prices.
New findings published by Redfin show that a growing number of buyers are backing out of deals to buy a house at the last minute because buying a home is more expensive than ever. About 56,000 home purchases were canceled in June – about 15% of homes that went under contract – the highest percentage of any June on record.
The median home sale price rose 4% in June to $442,525, the highest level on record. At the same time, the average 30-year mortgage rate was about 6.92%, more than double the pandemic-era lows.
HOME PRICES SMASHED ANOTHER RECORD IN JUNE AS SALES SLUMP
“Buyers are getting more and more selective,” said Julie Zubiate, a Redfin real estate agent near San Francisco. “They’re backing out due to minor issues because the monthly costs associated with buying a home today are just too high to rationalize not getting everything on their must-have list.”
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Homes in the Issaquah Highlands area of Issaquah, Washington on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. (Photographer: David Ryder/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
Still, there are some signs that home prices may soon fall.
The Redfin report showed that one in five homes for sale saw a price cut, the highest level of any June on record. It marks a notable increase from the 14.4% pace seen one year ago and is just shy of the 21.7% record set in October 2022.
There are a number of driving forces behind the affordability crisis.
MORTGAGE CALCULATOR: SEE HOW MUCH HIGHER RATES COULD COST YOU
Years of underbuilding fueled a shortage of homes in the country, a problem that was later exacerbated by the rapid rise in mortgage rates and expensive construction materials.
Higher mortgage rates over the past three years have also created a “golden handcuff” effect in the housing market. Sellers who locked in a record-low mortgage rate of 3% or less during the pandemic began have been reluctant to sell, limiting supply further and leaving few options for eager would-be buyers.
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A home available for sale is shown on May 22, 2024 in Austin, Texas. (Photo by Brandon Bell/Getty Images / Getty Images)
Economists predict that mortgage rates will remain elevated for most of 2024 and that they will only begin to fall once the Federal Reserve starts cutting rates. Even then, rates are unlikely to return to the lows seen during the pandemic, with investors predicting just one or two rate reductions this year.
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“Some prospective buyers are simply waiting for mortgage rates to come down after the Federal Reserve cuts rates, most likely in September,” said Lisa Sturtevant, Bright MLS chief economist. “With inflation cooling and the job market still solid, rate cuts are now almost a foregone conclusion, which means those buyers who can wait are doing so.”
Most homeowners say they are nearly twice as willing to sell their home if their mortgage rate is 5% or higher, according to a Zillow survey. Currently, about 80% of mortgage holders have a rate below 5%.
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Europe’s best kept secret: Poland, the region’s economic tiger
Poland President Andrzej Duda joins ‘Mornings with Maria’ at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, to discuss the effect Trump’s presidency will have on the global economy.
Nothing seems to get in the way of Poland going from strength to strength despite being part of the sluggish European Union. There are multiple reasons why and many facets, including the country’s outstanding defense spending and its conservative Donald Trump-like approach to illicit immigration.
Late last month, Poland’s economy was estimated to have grown by 2.9% last year, according to the country’s StatOffice. That performance trounces Europe’s single currency area, also known as the eurozone, by more than threefold; it eked out a mere 0.7% over the same period.
Poland’s growth also overtook the U.S., which grew a robust 2.5% in the 12 months through December.
“The last year or two has seen a boom, and it’s getting publicity,” says Mateusz Urban, a senior economist at Oxford Economics in Warsaw, Poland, told FOX Business. “There really is a European tiger right at Germany’s door.”
GERMANY IN ECONOMIC DOLDRUMS AMID TRUMP TARIFF WAR, CHINA COMPETITION
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Consumers walk by a shopping center in Warsaw, the capital of Poland, July 4, 2024. (Dominika Zarzycka/NurPhoto via Getty Images / Getty Images)
This isn’t a one-off event. By 2024, Poland’s economy had grown to 11 times as big as in 1986. That considerably outpaces the U.S., which grew its economy to be six times as big over the same period, according to data from Trading Economics.
Urban says a big part of Poland’s fast growth involved unlocking human capital after the collapse of the Soviet Union. During the many decades of USSR rule, the government devoted a lot of effort to educating people in math, science and engineering, and the ongoing impact of those universities and schools is still much appreciated.
“These kinds of institutions have a long-lasting legacy,” Urban said. “After 1989, Poland inherited quite a well-organized system that managed to produce a good number of specialists in mechanical engineering and information technology.”
DREAMS OF ‘UNITED STATES OF EUROPE’ DYING FAST AS EU BACKTRACKS AMID ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION
That focus on science, tech, engineering and math helped the country build an impressive tech sector estimated to be worth $32 billion, or 4.5% of the economy this year, according to the Mordor Intelligence research company.
Polish workers are also “very hardworking, with high standards, and cheaper to employ than people in the United Kingdom,” Elias Haddad, a senior markets strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman in London, told FOX Business.
Another factor Poland is benefiting from is the appointment of EU veteran Donald Tusk as prime minister in December 2023. Previous to him, the Polish Law and Justice Party, led by Mateusz Jakub Morawiecki, had been sanctioned by the European Commission [EC] due to the belief that Poland’s judiciary was not independent of the government.
“The party were not abiding by some of the EU rules,” Haddad says.
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The white and red national flag of Poland and the flag of the European Union in Brandenburg. (Patrick Pleul/picture alliance via Getty Images / Getty Images)
The result was the EC held back EU funds meant to help Poland. But now with Tusk firmly in the hot seat, EU money should all be released, giving the economy yet another boost.
While the country is growing fast, it is also on the front line of NATO, the military alliance founded after WWII, bordering Ukraine. The country is expected to spend 4.7% of its GDP on defense this year, which is a larger percentage than any other NATO member, and it led the way in 2024 as well.
“We are aware that Germany won’t be able to rescue Poland,” Urban says. “That’s why the government is pushing spending to near 5% of GDP.”
For decades, Germany failed to reach its NATO commitment of spending at least 2% of GDP on defense, according to the World Bank. In 2024, it reached 2.1%.
While Poland has responded positively to the Ukraine-Russia war during that time, it has also taken on a burden of more than 7 million refugees from Ukraine.
“Since the war, we became an attractive place for immigration and refugees,” Marcin Klucznik, a senior advisor for the world economy team at the Polish Economic Institute, told FOX Business.
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A man wears a “Make Poland Great Again” cap while attending the Independence March celebrating the 106th anniversary of Poland regaining independence in Warsaw, Poland Nov. 11, 2024. (Beata Zawrzel/NurPhoto via Getty Images / Getty Images)
However, that massive influx has led to discussions of who Poland wants to attract to its country, Klucznik says. Last month Rafał Trzaskowski, a candidate for Poland’s presidency, requested the government stop paying so-called child benefit subsidies to Ukrainians with children but who aren’t officially working. He has stated that only those working and paying their taxes should get aid from the state.
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Klucznik said the country is conservative and cautious with its immigration policy.
“We are aware of some of the mistakes made by other European countries such as Germany, France and the U.K., and we want to avoid some of that,” he said.
In particular, those three large countries have failed to get many immigrants to integrate fully into the local culture.
Finance News
Kevin O’Leary warns TikTok’s fate could be determined by ‘secret golden share’ granting Beijing ‘veto’ power
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O’Leary Ventures Chairman Kevin O’Leary and Gristedes CEO John Catsimatidis join ‘Mornings with Maria’ to discuss the latest news involving the U.S. ban on TikTok and how Trump executive orders could impact the economy.
TikTok’s fate could be left up to Beijing thanks to a “secret” arrangement granting the Chinese government leverage over any potential deal involving the platform, “Shark Tank” investor Kevin O’Leary told FOX Business on Monday.
“There is something called a secret golden share that every Chinese company has to issue to the CCP leadership. That’s Xi [Jinping] himself, and it turns out that ByteDance can’t negotiate anything unless he’s made a decision,” the O’Leary Ventures Chairman told “Mornings with Maria” guest host Cheryl Casone.
“The secret share is a veto power over all other shareholders,” he explained. “They do not have any rights once the secret share has been issued, so now we’re dealing with what to do with the secret share, because until she decides what’s going to happen, it doesn’t matter what shareholders think or the CEO or any of the management, it’s irrelevant. It’s the secret golden share that determines the fate of TikTok now.”
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O’Leary Ventures Chairman Kevin O’Leary discussed TikTok’s uncertain future while appearing on “Mornings with Maria” on Monday. (Ting Shen/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
As The New York Times explained, in this arrangement, the “Chinese government buys a small portion of a company’s equity in exchange for a seat on its board and veto power over certain company decisions.”
Speaking on the subject later on “Varney & Co.,” O’Leary said the news may come as a surprise to other investors involved with Chinese companies.
“They’re all subject to the holder of the secret golden share, and I would think that contravenes some U.S. securities laws, if you’re listed on a New York exchange or NASDAQ or any other exchange,” he said.
“Rumor has it today, here in Washington, that Lindsey [Graham]… will be launching a bill on this very shortly because we’re learning so much through this TikTok situation. There’s no deal yet. This deal now is in Trump’s hands and it will be his deal. Unfortunately, the option to extend 90 days is not currently in the existing law. So that’s going to have to be modified by Congress. And the option to have any Chinese ownership is not permitted by the 9 to 0 Supreme Court order. So… our hands are tied as buyers, and we are going to have to abide by the law unless President Trump is able to change it.”
TikTok has contrarily said, however, that, “an entity affiliated with the Chinese government owns 1% of a ByteDance subsidiary, Douyin Information Service,” and says the holding “has no bearing on ByteDance’s global operations outside of China, including TikTok,” according to Reuters.
The popular short video platform went dark for millions of users across the U.S. late Saturday after the Supreme Court, citing national security concerns, upheld a bipartisan law signed by President Biden last spring that required the app’s China-based parent company, ByteDance, to sell the platform or face a U.S. ban.
While briefly going dark, the app featured a shout-out to Trump, who had previously said he will “most likely” give TikTok a 90-day extension from the Sunday deadline after assuming office.
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TikTok informed users on Saturday that it is no longer available due to the ban enacted in the U.S., while stating President-elect Trump is working on a solution. (TikTok / Fox News)
The app returned hours later, but its future remains in limbo.
Just minutes after the Supreme Court’s ruling, O’Leary put a $20 billion cash offer for the app on the table, arguing that selling to an American syndicate is the “obvious solution.”
He told Casone he has not had any negotiations with ByteDance thanks to the “golden share.”
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‘Shark Tank’ investor Kevin O’Leary talks TikTok’s future, the Chinese government’s role with a ‘secret golden share’ and the role Trump could play in keeping the platform available in the U.S.
Reuters and FOX Business’ Alexandra Koch, Bradford Betz and Landon Mion contributed to this report.
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